Title

Threatcasting: a framework and process to model future operating enviornments

Authors

Natalie Vanatta, Army Cyber InstituteFollow
Brain David Johnson, Arizona State UniversityFollow

Document Type

Article

Files

Contributing USMA Research Unit(s)

Army Cyber Institute

Description

Threatcasting, a new foresight methodology, draws from futures studies and military strategic thinking to provide a novel method to model the future. The methodology fills gaps in existing military futures thinking and provides a process to specify actionable steps as well as progress indicators. Threatcasting also provides an ability to anticipate future threats and develop strategies to reduce the impact of any event. This technical note provides a detailed explanation of the Threatcasting methodology. It provides the reader with its connections to the current body of work within the foresight community and then explains the four phase methodology through the use of a real-life example.

Publication Date

2018

Keywords

threatcasting, cyber model, narrative, technology

Recommended Citation

Vanatta, Natalie and Johnson, Brain David, "Threatcasting: a framework and process to model future operating enviornments" (2018). ACI Books & Book Chapters. 37.
https://digitalcommons.usmalibrary.org/aci_books/37